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Table 3 Out-of-sample forecast error (RMSE) for each of the eight time series used in the study

From: Mood dynamics in bipolar disorder

Time series

PST

SES

AR1

AR2

MAT2

LCP

LLP

1

3.51

2.68

2.63

2.66

2.70

2.62

2.81

2

2.28

2.08

1.88

1.87

1.83

1.85

1.91

3

4.12

4.11

3.52

3.55

3.68

3.74

3.62

4

5.08

6.56

5.15

5.24

4.88

5.51

5.09

5

2.77

2.23

2.18

2.21

2.17

2.12

2.26

6

2.61

2.61

2.49

2.41

2.45

2.89

2.43

7

3.27

2.71

2.72

2.63

2.65

2.71

2.70

8

1.59

1.59

1.53

1.59

1.60

1.70

1.53

Mean

3.16

3.07

2.76

2.77

2.75

2.89

2.79

Median

3.02

2.65

2.56

2.52

2.55

2.67

2.57