Skip to main content

Table 3 Out-of-sample forecast error (RMSE) for each of the eight time series used in the study

From: Mood dynamics in bipolar disorder

Time series PST SES AR1 AR2 MAT2 LCP LLP
1 3.51 2.68 2.63 2.66 2.70 2.62 2.81
2 2.28 2.08 1.88 1.87 1.83 1.85 1.91
3 4.12 4.11 3.52 3.55 3.68 3.74 3.62
4 5.08 6.56 5.15 5.24 4.88 5.51 5.09
5 2.77 2.23 2.18 2.21 2.17 2.12 2.26
6 2.61 2.61 2.49 2.41 2.45 2.89 2.43
7 3.27 2.71 2.72 2.63 2.65 2.71 2.70
8 1.59 1.59 1.53 1.59 1.60 1.70 1.53
Mean 3.16 3.07 2.76 2.77 2.75 2.89 2.79
Median 3.02 2.65 2.56 2.52 2.55 2.67 2.57